If
profit is the focus of business owners, shareholders, corporate executives,
and regulators, then why are so few
risk managers focused on profit when we hedge? Managing value or profit
is a mindset change for many. Often
risk policies and risk managers speak of being flat or fully covered. But
sadly, the context in which the statement
is made is without reference to profitability (value). Instead hedgers
and policies are focusing upon (or believe
they are focusing upon) loan volumes.
Shouldn’t we manage for the
goal and not just the limits? Performance hedging differs from many other
approaches to hedging in the context in which it measures success and
failure. Hedges are weighed in terms of
their net contribution toward achieving a profit / value goal and preserving
a profit / value floor.
This approach allows the exposure question to have the appropriate
context and be correctly normalized. A goal
phrased in terms of basis points of profit per each dollar of loans
delivered is both more empowering and less
ambiguous than an alternative risk policy directive of covering a minimum
of 90% of the loan volume.
Exposure in the performance hedging context is now seen over a landscape
and not a single point in space and
time. The relative likelihood of the risk is stratified in such a
way as to make efficient use of hedge devices and
avoid unwarranted transactions.
- Performance Hedging provides for a means to manage the moving parts
/ risks that can decrement value:
Fallout / Pair-off Risk
- Systemic Risk
(Price Sensitivity)
- Basis Risk (Rate
Sensitivity)
- Non-systemic
Risk (Investor viability / stability, pricing idiosyncrasies)
- Execution Risk
(hedge liquidity, cost to execute a transaction)
- Marketing Risk
(volume size, volume consistency and volume quality...delivery selection
and delivery issues – realm of best execution, work
flow management, and loan/data quality management)
A Solution for the Information Age
We believe that many risk managers have been diverted from this
path due to growing up with the legacy of older
technologies that required simple techniques and / or drew
upon financial engineering tools designed for other
business models. These once state of the art approaches patched
solutions, meant for other industries, over to
mortgage banking and were presented as the panacea to cure
all ills. We’ve
all heard knowledge is power and
we are living in the information age. It follows that the unquestioned
utilization of the black box solution or
following an approach solely because others do it does not
necessarily lead to remarkable performance. Greg
Crosby manages the secondary marketing software and services product
line having joined ASC in June 1997. Greg has been involved in
the mortgage
industry since 1981. His fields of experience include secondary
marketing, financial and performance auditing, construction and
design of financial conduits, software development, commodity and
securities portfolio management, and design of risk assessment
systems. He developed the Risk Manager and Servicing Shepherd™ software
products. Greg has served as a chief financial officer, with both
commercial banks and investment securities brokerage firms, and
has served as an advisor and board member to companies ranging
from service providers to financial conduits. Greg is considered
an industry expert in the fields of secondary marketing and risk
management has authored numerous articles, papers and a book titled
The Theory and Practical Application of Improving Secondary Marketing
Performance with Software Tools. |